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M&A AnalysisIT ServicesMay 2026By Kunal Khullar · ILLUM Partners

The three valuation archetypes redefining IT services M&A

Why did Coforge pay 3.9× revenue — and 20.6× adjusted EBITDA — for Encora, while a major Indian IT services firm paid 0.3× revenue for a European technology consulting business, both deals announced within months of each other? The answer is not about deal size, geography, or market conditions. It is about acquisition archetype.

For years, IT services M&A has been analysed as a single cohort — "IT services multiples" benchmarked against a blended average of transactions with fundamentally different strategic rationales. That framework is breaking down. Three distinct valuation archetypes are emerging that are better predictors of deal pricing than sector classification alone.

Understanding which archetype your business falls into is now the most important input to understanding what a buyer will pay for it.

Market context — IT services M&A 2015–2025
1.3×
Median EV/Revenue
629 disclosed deals
10.2×
Median EV/EBITDA
361 disclosed deals
8,000+
Transactions analysed
Analysis of publicly disclosed transactions
The median obscures a wide distribution. Top-quartile deals (capability acquisitions) reach 3×–5× revenue. Bottom-quartile deals (access acquisitions) price at 0.3×–0.8× revenue. The archetype determines which end of the distribution a deal falls on.

The three archetypes

Archetype 01

Capability Acquisition

Buying what the acquirer cannot build fast enough

2.5× – 5.0×
EV / Revenue
Deal evidence
Coforge / Encora (Dec 2025)
$2.35B · 3.9× EV/Sales · 20.6× EV/Adj. EBITDA
Source: Bloomberg / Coforge stock exchange filing
HCLTech / HPE CTG assets (2024)
$225M · IP, R&D talent, 20 of top 30 global CSPs
Source: HCLTech press release
Premium platform ecosystem acquisitions
Salesforce, Databricks, ServiceNow ecosystem firms
Source: Industry benchmark
What buyers are looking for
AI engineering and MLOps capability
Cloud and data modernisation platforms
Proprietary IP or accelerators
Scarce certified talent pools
Platform ecosystem relationships (Databricks, Snowflake, ServiceNow)
Why buyers price it this way

Buyers pay on revenue not EBITDA because they are acquiring a capability multiplier — the earnings will come after integration. The multiple reflects strategic scarcity not current profitability. Coforge paid 3.9× revenue and 20.6× EBITDA for Encora because Encora brought AI-native engineering, an agentic AI platform, and LATAM near-shore delivery that Coforge could not build organically in time.

2026 outlook

Multiples expanding in 2026 as AI capability scarcity intensifies. Best-in-class AI engineering assets and platform ecosystem specialists trading at the high end of the range.

Archetype 02

Hybrid Platform Acquisition

Recurring managed services with embedded IP and consulting

9× – 14× EBITDA
EV / EBITDA
Deal evidence
Mid-market MSPs with proprietary tooling
Median EV/EBITDA 10.2× across 361 disclosed deals 2015–2025
Source: Analysis of publicly disclosed IT services M&A transactions
Vertical-specialist IT services firms
Healthcare IT, fintech, cyber — premium to median
Source: Industry benchmark
Managed security service providers
Recurring contracted revenue above 60%, IP layer present
Source: Industry benchmark
What buyers are looking for
Recurring contracted revenue above 60%
Proprietary platform or tooling layer
Deep vertical specialisation (healthcare IT, fintech, cyber)
Multi-year client relationships
EBITDA margins above 15%
Why buyers price it this way

2026 outlook

Stable PE demand for managed services roll-ups. Cyber and healthcare verticals are commanding premium multiples in 2026. PE-backed platforms completed hundreds of MSP acquisitions in 2024 and 2025.

Archetype 03

Access Acquisition

Buying relationships, geography, or regulated-market entry

0.3× – 1.0×
EV / Revenue
Deal evidence
Major Indian IT firm / European tech consulting business (2026)
0.3× EV/Sales on €469M revenue — geographic and regulated-market entry
Source: Publicly filed — stock exchange disclosure
GCC / captive carve-outs
Typically 0.3×–0.6× revenue — buying client relationships not earnings
Source: Industry benchmark
Industry bottom quartile IT services transactions
0.5×–0.8× revenue where primary driver is access not capability
Source: Publicly available M&A transaction data 2015–2025
What buyers are looking for
GCC or captive delivery relationships
Geographic entry into new market
Regulated vertical penetration (government, defence, aerospace)
Staff augmentation as primary model
Project-based revenue without IP layer
Why buyers price it this way

Buyers are acquiring access — client relationships, geographic presence, or regulated clearances — not earnings quality. Revenue is the most honest metric because EBITDA in these models is often thin and inconsistent. A disciplined buyer pays the correct market price for what is being acquired. The alternative — overpaying for access — has historically destroyed significant value.

2026 outlook

Multiples under moderate pressure in 2026 as GCC demand moderates and buyers become more selective about pure staff augmentation businesses. Disciplined acquirers continue to transact at appropriate access multiples.

What happens when buyers confuse archetypes

Cautionary case — Atos / Syntel (2018)

In 2018 Atos acquired Syntel — a $924M revenue IT services business — for $3.4 billion, representing approximately 3.4× revenue. Industry data shows the prevailing EV/Revenue median at the time of the transaction (2018) was approximately 1.4×. Atos paid more than double the market median.

Syntel's rationale was described as a capability and North American market access acquisition. In practice it delivered primarily access — client relationships and offshore delivery — not a transformative capability layer. Within five years Atos was undergoing major restructuring proceedings and has reported significant goodwill impairments.

The lesson: a business that is fundamentally an access acquisition does not become a capability acquisition because the acquirer needs it to be one. Archetype is determined by what is actually being acquired, not by the strategic narrative around the deal.

What this means if you are a founder considering a sale

Know your archetype before you talk to anyone

If you go to market positioned as a generic IT services business you will receive generic IT services pricing — the 1.3× revenue median. Buyers have become sophisticated at archetype identification. They will classify you whether or not you do it yourself. Better to arrive knowing which archetype you are and why.

Archetype is more important than sector

A cybersecurity managed services firm with recurring revenue and proprietary tooling is a Hybrid Platform acquisition — regardless of the fact that it sits in the IT services sector. A large staff augmentation business with enterprise clients in a regulated vertical is an Access acquisition. The strategic rationale of the buyer determines the archetype, not the industry classification.

You can move archetypes — but it takes 12–24 months

Moving from Access to Hybrid Platform by building recurring contracted revenue, adding a tooling or IP layer, and deepening vertical specialisation is achievable. It is a 12–24 month programme that materially changes your multiple. For most founder-led IT services businesses it is the single highest-ROI activity in the 2–3 years before a planned exit.

The Coforge/Encora deal sets a new benchmark

At 3.9× EV/Sales and 20.6× EV/Adjusted EBITDA, Coforge paid India's largest-ever IT services acquisition price for Encora. This is a real data point for what AI-native engineering capability commands in 2025–2026. It also sets a new expectation that AI capability claims will be scrutinised in diligence — buyers have seen what genuine AI-native businesses look like.

"If a strategic buyer looked at your business today — what would they say they are actually acquiring? Capability, platform, or access?"

Your honest answer to that question tells you more about your likely valuation multiple than any financial metric alone.

Find out where you stand

What archetype is your business — and what is it worth?

ILLUM Pulse applies a three-layer valuation framework — including subsector archetype adjustment — to your specific business. Free Pulse Score in 5 minutes. Full valuation range, M&A readiness score, and 90-day action plan from $33/month.

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Data sources
Coforge / Encora deal: Coforge stock exchange filing, Bloomberg, December 2025
HCLTech / HPE CTG: HCLTech press release, May 2024
IT services median multiples: Analysis of publicly disclosed IT services M&A transactions 2015–2025
MSP valuation multiples: Publicly available M&A market data and disclosed transaction records
Atos / Syntel: Public filings, company announcements, 2018
Access acquisition (0.3× EV/Sales): Publicly filed stock exchange disclosure, May 2026
KK
Kunal Khullar
Managing Partner · ILLUM Partners · Washington DC

Kunal has advised on $11B+ of TMT M&A transactions across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific over 22 years. ILLUM Pulse is built on the same transaction database and methodology used in ILLUM Partners advisory mandates.

Based on ILLUM Partners transaction analysis and publicly available deal data. Multiple ranges are indicative and based on private and public market transaction evidence. Individual deal pricing will vary based on specific circumstances, deal structure, and buyer rationale. References to specific transactions are based on publicly disclosed information. This article does not constitute investment or financial advice.